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    PracticeAQA GCSEAQA GCSE Statistics Higher Tier Paper 2Question 09.1
    Medium3 marksStructured
    Statistical Measures and CalculationsprobabilitycombinationsHigher

    AQA GCSE · Question 09.1 · Statistical Measures and Calculations

    There are 7 players who can play for a snooker team: Micky, Katie, Niles, Tommo, Paul, Jonno and Emma. Each week four players are needed to make up the team. One week, Micky and Katie are chosen for the team and the other two players are chosen at random. What is the probability that Niles is also in the team?

    How to approach this question

    1. Determine how many players are left to choose from after Micky and Katie are selected. 2. Determine how many spots are still available on the team. 3. Think about the remaining players as a smaller group. What is the chance of any single player (Niles) being picked to fill one of the available spots? 4. You can think of it as "What is the probability Niles is the first pick?" OR "What is the probability Niles is the second pick?". A simpler way is to consider the proportion of available spots to available players.

    Full Answer

    After Micky and Katie are chosen, the situation is: - Number of players remaining: 7 - 2 = 5 (Niles, Tommo, Paul, Jonno, Emma). - Number of team spots to fill: 4 - 2 = 2. We are choosing 2 players from the remaining 5. Each of the 5 players has an equal chance of being chosen. A simple way to think about this is that there are 2 available "winning" spots and 5 players competing for them. Therefore, the probability for any one player (like Niles) to be chosen is 2/5. More formally, using combinations: - The total number of ways to choose 2 players from the remaining 5 is "5 choose 2" or ⁵C₂ = (5!)/(2! * 3!) = 10. - The number of ways to choose Niles and one other player is "1 choose 1" (for Niles) multiplied by "4 choose 1" (for the other player), which is 1 * 4 = 4. - The probability is (Favourable outcomes) / (Total outcomes) = 4/10 = 2/5.

    Common mistakes

    ✗ Calculating the probability based on the original 7 players (e.g., 4/7). ✗ Getting the number of remaining players or spots wrong. ✗ Overcomplicating the calculation. The simple ratio of spots to players (2/5) works directly.
    Question 07.3All questionsQuestion 09.2

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